Articles | Volume 371
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-43-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-43-2015
12 Jun 2015
 | 12 Jun 2015

Accounting for hydro-climatic and water use variability in the assessment of past and future water balance at the basin scale

J. Fabre, D. Ruelland, A. Dezetter, and B. Grouillet

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Simulating past changes in the balance between water demand and availability and assessing their main drivers at the river basin scale
J. Fabre, D. Ruelland, A. Dezetter, and B. Grouillet
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1263–1285, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1263-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1263-2015, 2015
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Cited articles

Collet, L., Ruelland, D., Borrell-Estupina, V., Dezetter, A., and Servat, E.: Integrated modeling to assess long-term water supply capacity of a meso-scale Mediterranean catchment, Sci. Total Environ., 461–462, 528–540, 2013.
Dezetter, A., Fabre, J., Ruelland, D., and Servat, E.: Selecting an optimal climatic dataset for integrated modeling of the Ebro hydrosystem, in: Hydrology in a changing world: environmental and human dimensions (Proc. 7th FRIEND Int. Conf., Montpellier, France, 7–10 October 2014), 363, 355–360, IAHS Publ., 2014.
Fabre, J., Ruelland, D., Dezetter, A., and Grouillet, B.: Simulating past changes in the balance between water demand and availability and assessing their main drivers at the river basin scale, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1236–1285, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1263-2015, 2015.
Grouillet, B., Fabre, J., Ruelland, D., and Dezetter, A.: Historical reconstruction and 2050 projections of water demand under anthropogenic and climate changes in two contrasted Mediterranean catchments, J. Hydrol, 522, 684–696, 2015.
Heinrichs, T., Lehner, B., and Alcamo, J.: An Integrated Analysis of Change in Water Stress in Europe, Int. Assess., 3, 15–29, 2012.
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Short summary
Socio-economic and hydroclimatic data were integrated in a modeling framework to simulate water resources and demand. We successfully modeled water stress changes in space and time in two basins over the past 40 years, and explained changes in discharge by separating human and hydroclimatic trends. The framework was then applied under 4 combinations of climate and water use scenarios at the 2050 horizon. Results showed that projected water uses are not sustainable under climate change scenarios.