Articles | Volume 371
12 Jun 2015
 | 12 Jun 2015

Accounting for hydro-climatic and water use variability in the assessment of past and future water balance at the basin scale

J. Fabre, D. Ruelland, A. Dezetter, and B. Grouillet


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Short summary
Socio-economic and hydroclimatic data were integrated in a modeling framework to simulate water resources and demand. We successfully modeled water stress changes in space and time in two basins over the past 40 years, and explained changes in discharge by separating human and hydroclimatic trends. The framework was then applied under 4 combinations of climate and water use scenarios at the 2050 horizon. Results showed that projected water uses are not sustainable under climate change scenarios.