Articles | Volume 385
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-385-25-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-385-25-2024
Post-conference publication
 | 
18 Apr 2024
Post-conference publication |  | 18 Apr 2024

Estimation of expected annual damage, EAD

Dan Rosbjerg

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Cited articles

Olsen, A. S., Zhou, Q, Linde, J. J., and Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K.: Comparing methods of calculating expected annual damage in urban pluvial flood risk assessments, Water, 7, 255–270, https://doi.org/10.3390/w7010255, 2015. 
Rambøll: Manual for the application of Skrift 31, Miljøstyrelsen, https://www2.mst.dk/Udgiv/publikationer/2018/manual.pdf (last access: 21 January 2023), 2021 (in Danish). 
Rosbjerg, D.: Optimal adaptation to extreme rainfalls in current and future climate, Water Resour. Res., 53, 535–543, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019718, 2017. 
SVK: Methods for determination of the service level for rainwater on the surface, IDA Spildevandskomitéen, https://spildevandskomiteen.dk/skrift-31/ (last access: 21 January 2023), 2017 (in Danish). 
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Short summary
The paper provides a more precise and efficient method for calculation of the expected annual damage (EAD). Damage occurs when the current capacity is exceeded. An estimate of EAD is needed for the design of climate change adaptation measures based on economic optimisation, where future damages and maintenance costs are balanced against capital costs. The method is shown to be superior to estimation based on numerical integration, particularly in the case of sparse data availability.