Articles | Volume 385
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-385-203-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-385-203-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Assessment of Hydrological Changes in Godavari River Basin Under the Impacts of El-Niño
Department of WRD&M, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, 247667, India
Kasiapillai Sudalaimuthu Kasiviswanathan
Department of WRD&M, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, 247667, India
Claudia Teutschbein
Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, 75236, Sweden
Bankaru-Swamy Soundharajan
Department of Civil Engineering, Amrita Vishwa Vidyapeetham, Coimbatore, 641112, India
M M Diwan Mohaideen
Department of WRD&M, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, 247667, India
Venkatesh Budamala
Department of WRD&M, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, 247667, India
Related authors
No articles found.
Claudia Teutschbein, Thomas Grabs, Markus Giese, Andrijana Todorović, and Roland Barthel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2742, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2742, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study explores how droughts develop and spread in high-latitude regions, focusing on the unique conditions found in areas like Scandinavia. It reveals that droughts affect soil, rivers, and groundwater differently, depending on factors like land cover, water availability, and soil properties. The findings highlight the importance of tailored water management strategies to protect resources and ecosystems in these regions, especially as climate change continues to impact weather patterns.
Anne F. Van Loon, Sarra Kchouk, Alessia Matanó, Faranak Tootoonchi, Camila Alvarez-Garreton, Khalid E. A. Hassaballah, Minchao Wu, Marthe L. K. Wens, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Elena Ridolfi, Riccardo Biella, Viorica Nagavciuc, Marlies H. Barendrecht, Ana Bastos, Louise Cavalcante, Franciska T. de Vries, Margaret Garcia, Johanna Mård, Ileen N. Streefkerk, Claudia Teutschbein, Roshanak Tootoonchi, Ruben Weesie, Valentin Aich, Juan P. Boisier, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Yiheng Du, Mauricio Galleguillos, René Garreaud, Monica Ionita, Sina Khatami, Johanna K. L. Koehler, Charles H. Luce, Shreedhar Maskey, Heidi D. Mendoza, Moses N. Mwangi, Ilias G. Pechlivanidis, Germano G. Ribeiro Neto, Tirthankar Roy, Robert Stefanski, Patricia Trambauer, Elizabeth A. Koebele, Giulia Vico, and Micha Werner
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3173–3205, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3173-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3173-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Drought is a creeping phenomenon but is often still analysed and managed like an isolated event, without taking into account what happened before and after. Here, we review the literature and analyse five cases to discuss how droughts and their impacts develop over time. We find that the responses of hydrological, ecological, and social systems can be classified into four types and that the systems interact. We provide suggestions for further research and monitoring, modelling, and management.
Elin Stenfors, Malgorzata Blicharska, Thomas Grabs, and Claudia Teutschbein
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2726, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2726, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Utilizing a survey including respondents from seven societal sectors, the role of water dependency for drought vulnerability was explored. Differences were found in the perceived impact of vulnerability factors on drought risk in relation to water dependency (i.e., dependency on either soil moisture, or groundwater and surface water). The results highlight the importance of accounting for water dependency, and to clearly define the drought hazard, in drought vulnerability or risk assessments.
Riccardo Biella, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Daniela Cid, Maria Carmen Llasat, Marthe Wens, Marleen Lam, Elin Stenfors, Samuel Sutanto, Elena Ridolfi, Serena Ceola, Pedro Alencar, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Monica Ionita, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Scott J. McGrane, Benedetta Moccia, Viorica Nagavciuc, Fabio Russo, Svitlana Krakovska, Andrijana Todorovic, Faranak Tootoonchi, Patricia Trambauer, Raffaele Vignola, and Claudia Teutschbein
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2073, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2073, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This research by the Drought in the Anthropocene (DitA) network highlights the crucial role of forecasting systems and Drought Management Plans in European drought risk management. Based on a survey of water managers during the 2022 European drought, it underscores the impact of preparedness on response and the evolution of drought management strategies across the continent. The study concludes with a plea for a European Drought Directive.
Elin Stenfors, Malgorzata Blicharska, Thomas Grabs, and Claudia Teutschbein
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1988, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1988, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Through a survey, involving six-water dependent sectors, the relevance and impact of drought vulnerability factors for sectors and societies in forested cold climates was studied. The results show that the relevance and impact of vulnerability factors differ across sectors and how governance processes and policies are important for drought risk. The results offer unique insights into the dynamics of drought vulnerability, valuable for risk assessments, drought plans and increasing resilience.
Riccardo Biella, Ansastasiya Shyrokaya, Monica Ionita, Raffaele Vignola, Samuel Sutanto, Andrijana Todorovic, Claudia Teutschbein, Daniela Cid, Maria Carmen Llasat, Pedro Alencar, Alessia Matanó, Elena Ridolfi, Benedetta Moccia, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Anne van Loon, Doris Wendt, Elin Stenfors, Fabio Russo, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Lucy Barker, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Marleen Lam, Monika Bláhová, Patricia Trambauer, Raed Hamed, Scott J. McGrane, Serena Ceola, Sigrid Jørgensen Bakke, Svitlana Krakovska, Viorica Nagavciuc, Faranak Tootoonchi, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Sandra Hauswirth, Shreedhar Maskey, Svitlana Zubkovych, Marthe Wens, and Lena Merete Tallaksen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2069, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2069, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This research by the Drought in the Anthropocene (DitA) network highlights gaps in European drought management exposed by the 2022 drought and proposes a new direction. Using a Europe-wide survey of water managers, we examine four areas: increasing drought risk, impacts, drought management strategies, and their evolution. Despite growing risks, management remains fragmented and short-term. However, signs of improvement suggest readiness for change. We advocate for a European Drought Directive.
Veit Blauhut, Michael Stoelzle, Lauri Ahopelto, Manuela I. Brunner, Claudia Teutschbein, Doris E. Wendt, Vytautas Akstinas, Sigrid J. Bakke, Lucy J. Barker, Lenka Bartošová, Agrita Briede, Carmelo Cammalleri, Ksenija Cindrić Kalin, Lucia De Stefano, Miriam Fendeková, David C. Finger, Marijke Huysmans, Mirjana Ivanov, Jaak Jaagus, Jiří Jakubínský, Svitlana Krakovska, Gregor Laaha, Monika Lakatos, Kiril Manevski, Mathias Neumann Andersen, Nina Nikolova, Marzena Osuch, Pieter van Oel, Kalina Radeva, Renata J. Romanowicz, Elena Toth, Mirek Trnka, Marko Urošev, Julia Urquijo Reguera, Eric Sauquet, Aleksandra Stevkov, Lena M. Tallaksen, Iryna Trofimova, Anne F. Van Loon, Michelle T. H. van Vliet, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Niko Wanders, Micha Werner, Patrick Willems, and Nenad Živković
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2201–2217, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2201-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2201-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Recent drought events caused enormous damage in Europe. We therefore questioned the existence and effect of current drought management strategies on the actual impacts and how drought is perceived by relevant stakeholders. Over 700 participants from 28 European countries provided insights into drought hazard and impact perception and current management strategies. The study concludes with an urgent need to collectively combat drought risk via a European macro-level drought governance approach.
Faranak Tootoonchi, Jan Olaf Haerter, Olle Räty, Thomas Grabs, Mojtaba Sadegh, and Claudia Teutschbein
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-306, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-306, 2020
Preprint withdrawn
Short summary
Short summary
The motive behind writing this paper is the growing interest in adopting copulas in hydroclimatic applications. We performed an
in-depth copula analysis on a case study in Sweden to show strength, significance, variability and non-stationarity of correlation between precipitation and temperature variables. As our final product, we illustrate a comprehensive decision support framework to support end users in adopting copulas for hydroclimatic applications.
Adebayo J. Adeloye and Bankaru-Swamy Soundharajan
Proc. IAHS, 379, 21–29, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-21-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-21-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
We assessed the effects of different modes of operating reservoir on its ability to moderate water shortage impacts caused by climate change. The operating rule approach was enhanced by hedging using multiple zones and monthly rationing ratios for curtailment of water release. The results showed that basic hedging with single zone and constant rationing ratio caused significant reduction in water shortage during severe droughts. More complex operation modes produced only modest improvement.
Fernando Jaramillo, Neil Cory, Berit Arheimer, Hjalmar Laudon, Ype van der Velde, Thomas B. Hasper, Claudia Teutschbein, and Johan Uddling
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 567–580, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-567-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-567-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Which is the dominant effect on evapotranspiration in northern forests, an increase by recent forests expansion or a decrease by the water use response due to increasing CO2 concentrations? We determined the dominant effect during the period 1961–2012 in 65 Swedish basins. We used the Budyko framework to study the hydroclimatic movements in Budyko space. Our findings suggest that forest expansion is the dominant driver of long-term and large-scale evapotranspiration changes.
Stephen Oni, Martyn Futter, Jose Ledesma, Claudia Teutschbein, Jim Buttle, and Hjalmar Laudon
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2811–2825, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2811-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2811-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents an important framework to improve hydrologic projections in cold regions. Hydrologic modelling/projections are often based on model calibration to long-term data. Here we used dry and wet years as a proxy to quantify uncertainty in projecting hydrologic extremes. We showed that projections based on long-term data could underestimate runoff by up to 35% in boreal regions. We believe the hydrologic modelling community will benefit from new insights derived from this study.
C. Teutschbein and J. Seibert
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 5061–5077, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-5061-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-5061-2013, 2013
Cited articles
Ashok, K., Guan, Z., Saji, N. H., and Yamagata, T.: Individual and combined influences of ENSO and the Indian Ocean Dipole on the Indian summer monsoon, J. Climate, 17, 3141–3155, https://doi.org/10.1175/15200442(2004)017<3141:IACIOE>2.0.CO;2, 2004.
Bothale, R. V. and Katpatal, Y. B.: Trends and Anomalies in Extreme Climate Indices and Influence of El Niño and La Niña over Pranhita Catchment in Godavari Basin, India, J. Hydrol. Eng., 21, 05015023, https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)he.1943-5584.0001283, 2016.
Chavadekar, A. U. and Kashid, S. S.: Meteorological drought prediction of marathwada subdivision based on hydro-climatic inputs using genetic programming, ISH Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 27, 229–241, https://doi.org/10.1080/09715010.2019.1620647, 2021.
Cherchi, A. and Navarra, A.: Influence of ENSO and of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the Indian summer monsoon variability, Clim. Dynam., 41, 81–103, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1602-y, 2013.
Dixit, S. and Jayakumar, K. V.: A study on copula – based bivariate and trivariate drought assessment in Godavari River basin and the teleconnection of drought with large – scale climate indices, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 1335–1353, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03792-w, 2021.
Dixit, S., Tayyaba, S., and Jayakumar, K. V.: Spatio-temporal variation and future risk assessment of projected drought events in the Godavari River basin using regional climate models, J. Water Clim. Change, 12, 3240–3263, https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2021.093, 2021.
Duhan, D., Pandey, A., and Srivastava, P.: Rainfall variability and its association with El Niño Oscillation in Tons River Basin, India, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 130, 405–425, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-017-0525-x, 2018.
Franchini, M. and Pacciani, M.: Comparative analysis of several conceptual rainfall-runoff models, J. Hydrol., 122, 161–219, https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(91)90178-K, 1991.
Geethalakshmi, V., Yatagai, A., Palanisamy, K., and Umetsu, C.: Impact of ENSO and the Indian Ocean Dipole on the north-east monsoon rainfall of Tamil Nadu State in India, Hydrol. Process., 647, 633–647, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7191, 2009.
Ihara, C., Kushnir, Y., Cane, M. A., and Peña, V. H. D. L.: Indian summer monsoon rainfall and its link with ENSO and Indian Ocean climate indices, Int. J. Climatol., 187, 179–187, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc, 2007.
Kakatkar, R., Gnanaseelan, C., Chowdary, J. S., Parekh, A., and Deepa, J. S.: Indian summer monsoon rainfall variability during 2014 and 2015 and associated Indo-Pacific upper ocean temperature patterns, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 1235–1247, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-017-2046-4, 2018.
Kulkarni, A., Gadgil, S., and Patwardhan, S.: Monsoon variability, the 2015 Marathwada drought and rainfed agriculture, Curr. Sci. India, 111, 1182–1193, https://doi.org/10.18520/cs/v111/i7/1182-1193, 2016.
Kumar, K. K., Rajagopalan, B., Hoerling, M., and Cane, M.: Unraveling the Mystery of Indian Monsoon Failure During El Niño, Science, 314, 115–119, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1131152, 2006.
Lenka, S., Devi, R., Joseph, C. M., and Gouda, K. C.: Effect of large – scale oceanic and atmospheric processes on the Indian summer monsoon, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 1561–1576, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03896-3, 2022.
Liang, X., Lettenmaier, D. P., Wood, E. F., and Burges, S. J.: A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for general circulation models, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 14415–14428, https://doi.org/10.1029/94jd00483, 1994.
Lohmann, D., Nolte-holube, R., and Raschke, E.: A large-scale horizontal routing model to be coupled to land surf ace parametrization schemes, Tellus A, 48, 708–721, https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v48i5.12200, 1996.
Lohmann, D., Raschke, E., Nijssen, B., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Regional scale hydrology : I . Formulation of the VIC-2L model coupled to a routing model, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 43, 131–141, https://doi.org/10.1080/02626669809492107, 1998.
Mishra, V., Shah, H., López, M. R. R., Lobanova, A., and Krysanova, V.: Does comprehensive evaluation of hydrological models influence projected changes of mean and high flows in the Godavari River basin?, Climatic Change, 163, 1187–1205, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02847-7, 2020.
Pai, D. S., Sridhar, L., Rajeevan, M., Sreejith, O. P., Satbhai, N. S., and Mukhopadhyay, B.: Development of a new high spatial resolution (0.25°×0.25°) long period (1901–2010) daily gridded rainfall data set over India and its comparison with existing data sets over the region, MAUSAM, 65, 1–18, https://doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v65i1.851, 2014.
Rajbanshi, J. and Das, S.: The variability and teleconnections of meteorological drought in the Indian summer monsoon season: Implications for staple crop production, J. Hydrol., 603, 126845, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126845, 2021.
Rajeevan, M. and Pai, D. S.: On the El Niño-Indian monsoon predictive relationships, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, 1–4, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL028916, 2007.
Sai, M. S., Murthi, C. S., Chandrasekar, K., Jeyaseelan, A. T., Diwakar, P. G., and Dadhwal, V. K.: Agricultural drought: Assessment & monitoring, MAUSAM, 67, 131–142, https://doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v67i1.1155, 2016.
Schulte, J., Policielli, F., and Zaitchik, B.: A skewed perspective of the Indian rainfall–El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) relationship, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5473–5489, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5473-20200, 2020.
Singh, R. M. and Shukla, P.: Drought Characterization Using Drought Indices and El Niño Effects, Natl. Acad. Sci. Lett., 43, 339–342, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40009-019-00870-6, 2020.
Srivastava, A. K., Rajeevan, M., and Kshirsagar, S. R.: Development of a high resolution daily gridded temperature data set (1969–2005) for the Indian region, Atmos. Sci. Let., 10, 249–254, https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.232, 2009.
Varikoden, H. and Preethi, B.: Wet and dry years of Indian summer monsoon and its relation with Indo-Pacific sea surface temperatures, Int. J. Climatol., 1761–1771, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3547, 2013.
Varikoden, H., Revadekar, J. V., Choudhary, Y., and Preethi, B.: Droughts of Indian summer monsoon associated with El Niño and Non-El Niño years, Int. J. Climatol., 1925, 1916–1925, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4097, 2015.
Whitley, D.: A genetic algorithm tutorial, Stat. Comput., 4, 65–85, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00175354, 1994.
Short summary
This study focuses on advancing the current understanding of the impacts of the El Niño events on the hydrology of the Godavari River Basin (GRB). Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model was employed to assess the hydrological changes and found a negative correlation of average precipitation, abstractions, and soil moisture with increasing magnitude of El Niño events for the period 1980–2008.
This study focuses on advancing the current understanding of the impacts of the El Niño events...