Proceedings of IAHS
Proceedings of IAHS
PIAHS
Articles | Volume 384
Articles | Volume 384
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-384-289-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-384-289-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 384
Pre-conference publication
 | 
16 Nov 2021
Pre-conference publication |  | 16 Nov 2021

Seasonal flow forecasting in Africa; exploratory studies for large lakes

Kevin Sene and Wlodek Tych

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Short summary
In this paper, we discuss insights gained from previous studies using a novel combined water balance and data-driven approach for two of Africa’s largest lakes, Lake Victoria and Lake Malawi. Factors which increased predictability included the unusually long hydrological response times and statistically significant links to ocean-atmosphere processes such as the Indian Ocean Dipole. Other lessons learned concerned the benefits of data assimilation and the choice of performance metrics.
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