Articles | Volume 383
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-383-315-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-383-315-2020
Post-conference publication
 | 
16 Sep 2020
Post-conference publication |  | 16 Sep 2020

Past and future drought in Northwestern Algeria: the Beni Bahdel Dam catchment

Senna Bouabdelli, Ayoub Zeroual, Mohamed Meddi, Fateh Djelloul, and Ramdane Alkama

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Cited articles

Achour, K., Meddi, M., Zeroual, A., Bouabdelli, S., Maccioni, P., and Moramarco, T.: Spatio-temporal analysis and forecasting of drought in the plains of northwestern Algeria using the standardized precipitation index, J. Earth Syst. Sci., 129, 42, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-019-1306-3, 2020. 
Alderlieste, M. A. A., Van Lanen, H. A. J., and Wanders, N.: Future low flows and hydrological drought: How certain are these for Europe?, IAHS-AISH Proc. Rep., 363, 60–65, 2014. 
Bouabdelli, S., Meddi, M., Zeroual, A., and Alkama, R.: Hydrological drought risk recurrence under climate change in the karst area of Northwestern Algeria, J. Water Clim. Change, https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.207, in press, 2020. 
Brunet, M., Jones, P. D., Sigró, J., Saladié, O., Aguilar, E., Moberg, A., Della-Marta, P. M., Lister, D., Walther, A., and López, D.: Temporal and spatial temperature variability and change over Spain during 1850–2005, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 112, D12117, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD008249, 2007.  
Christensen, J. H., Hewitson, B., Busuioc, A., Chen, A., Gao, X., Held, R., Jones, R., Kolli, R. K., Kwon, W. K., Laprise, R., Magana Rueda, V., Mearns, L., Menendez, C. G., Räisänen, J., Rinke, A., Sarr, A., Whetton, P., Arritt, R., Benestad, R., Beniston, M., Bromwich, D., Caya, D., Comiso, J., de Elia, R., and Dethloff, K.: Regional climate projections. Climate Change, 2007: The Physical Science Basis, in: chap.  11, Contribution of Working group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 847–940, 2007. 
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The temporal evolution of drought events characteristics is discussed. Data from observations and simulations of the regional climate model RCA4 MPI-ESM-LR under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios for the period (1941–2100) are used. An amplification of drought frequencies is projected in the future under the RCP8.5 scenario. The maximum duration is expected to hardly change under the RCP8.5 scenario or even to decline.