Articles | Volume 379
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-139-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-139-2018
Pre-conference publication
 | 
05 Jun 2018
Pre-conference publication |  | 05 Jun 2018

Climate change impact on streamflow in large-scale river basins: projections and their uncertainties sourced from GCMs and RCP scenarios

Olga N. Nasonova, Yeugeniy M. Gusev, Evgeny E. Kovalev, and Georgy V. Ayzel

Related authors

Impact of possible climate changes on river runoff under different natural conditions
Yeugeniy M. Gusev, Olga N. Nasonova, Evgeny E. Kovalev, and Georgy V. Ayzel
Proc. IAHS, 379, 293–300, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-293-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-293-2018, 2018
Short summary
Modelling the impact of mulching the soil with plant remains on water regime formation, crop yield and energy costs in agricultural ecosystems
Yeugeniy M. Gusev, Larisa Y. Dzhogan, and Olga N. Nasonova
Proc. IAHS, 376, 77–82, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-376-77-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-376-77-2018, 2018
Short summary

Cited articles

Gelfan, A., Gustafsson, D., Motovilov, Yu., Arheimer, B., Kalugin, A., Krylenko, I., and Lavrenov, A.: Climate change impact on water regime of two great Arctic rivers: modeling and uncertainty issues, Climatic Change, 141, 499–515, 2017. 
Gosling, S. N., Taylor, R. G., Arnell, N. W., and Todd, M. C.: A comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from global and catchment-scale hydrological models, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 279–294, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-279-2011, 2011. 
Gusev, E. M. and Nasonova O. N.: Simulation of heat and water exchange at the land–atmosphere interface on a local scale for permafrost territories, Eurasian Soil Sci., 37, 1077–1092, 2004. 
Gusev, E. M. and Nasonova, O. N.: Modelling heat and water exchange between the land surface and the atmosphere, Nauka, Moscow, 2010.  
Gusev, E. M., Nasonova, O. N., Dzhogan, L. Ya., and Kovalev, E. E.: The application of the land surface model for calculating river runoff in high latitudes, Water Resources, 35, 171–184, 2008. 
Download
Short summary
Projections of climate induced changes in streamflow of 11 large-scale rivers located in five continents were modeled up to 2100 using meteorological projections simulated by five global circulation models (GCMs) for four climatic scenarios. Contribution of different sources of uncertainties into a total uncertainty of river runoff projections was analyzed. It was found that contribution of GCMs into the total uncertainty is, on the average, nearly twice larger than that of climatic scenarios.