Proceedings of IAHS
Proceedings of IAHS
PIAHS
Articles | Volume 379
Articles | Volume 379
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-139-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-139-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 379
Pre-conference publication
 | 
05 Jun 2018
Pre-conference publication |  | 05 Jun 2018

Climate change impact on streamflow in large-scale river basins: projections and their uncertainties sourced from GCMs and RCP scenarios

Olga N. Nasonova, Yeugeniy M. Gusev, Evgeny E. Kovalev, and Georgy V. Ayzel

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Latest update: 11 May 2026
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Short summary
Projections of climate induced changes in streamflow of 11 large-scale rivers located in five continents were modeled up to 2100 using meteorological projections simulated by five global circulation models (GCMs) for four climatic scenarios. Contribution of different sources of uncertainties into a total uncertainty of river runoff projections was analyzed. It was found that contribution of GCMs into the total uncertainty is, on the average, nearly twice larger than that of climatic scenarios.
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