Articles | Volume 371
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015
12 Jun 2015
 | 12 Jun 2015

Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century

O. N. Nasonova, Y. M. Gusev, E. M. Volodin, and E. E. Kovalev

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Latest update: 21 Nov 2024
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Short summary
The land surface model SWAP was found to be robust and can be applied for climate change studies. The river runoff projections up to 2100 were calculated for two greenhouse gas emission scenarios: RCP8.5 and RCP4.5. Scatter among SWAP’s projections due to application of different post-processing techniques for correcting biases in meteorological forcing data did not exceed 8%, while differences between changes in runoff projected by two models are much larger.