Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century

Nasonova, O. N.; Gusev, Y. M.; Volodin, E. M.; Kovalev, E. E.

doi:10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015

Articles | Volume 371

https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 371

12 Jun 2015

| 12 Jun 2015

Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century

O. N. Nasonova, Y. M. Gusev, E. M. Volodin, and E. E. Kovalev

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Oct 2015	8	17	0	25
Nov 2015	14	35	0	49
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Jul 2015	34	20	0	54
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Latest update: 26 Nov 2025

Short summary

The land surface model SWAP was found to be robust and can be applied for climate change studies. The river runoff projections up to 2100 were calculated for two greenhouse gas emission scenarios: RCP8.5 and RCP4.5. Scatter among SWAP’s projections due to application of different post-processing techniques for correcting biases in meteorological forcing data did not exceed 8%, while differences between changes in runoff projected by two models are much larger.