Articles | Volume 385
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-385-281-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-385-281-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Spatially distributed calibration of a hydrological model with variational optimization constrained by physiographic maps for flash flood forecasting in France
Maxime Jay-Allemand
Hydris Hydrologie, Montferrier-sur-Lez, France
Julie Demargne
Hydris Hydrologie, Montferrier-sur-Lez, France
Pierre-André Garambois
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
INRAE, Aix-Marseille Univ., RECOVER, Aix-en-Provence, France
Pierre Javelle
INRAE, Aix-Marseille Univ., RECOVER, Aix-en-Provence, France
Igor Gejadze
INRAE, Montpellier Univ., GEAU, Montpellier, France
François Colleoni
INRAE, Aix-Marseille Univ., RECOVER, Aix-en-Provence, France
Didier Organde
Hydris Hydrologie, Montferrier-sur-Lez, France
Patrick Arnaud
INRAE, Aix-Marseille Univ., RECOVER, Aix-en-Provence, France
Catherine Fouchier
INRAE, Aix-Marseille Univ., RECOVER, Aix-en-Provence, France
Related authors
François Colleoni, Pierre-André Garambois, Pierre Javelle, Maxime Jay-Allemand, and Patrick Arnaud
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-506, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-506, 2022
Preprint archived
Short summary
Short summary
This contribution presents the first evaluation of Variational Data Assimilation successfully applied over a large sample to the spatially distributed calibration of a newly taylored grid-based parsimonious model structure and corresponding adjoint. High performances are obtained in spatio-temporal validation and at flood time scales, especially for mediterranenan and oceanic catchments. Regional sensitivity analysis revealed the importance of the non conservative and production components.
Abubakar Haruna, Pierre-Andre Garambois, Helene Roux, Pierre Javelle, and Maxime Jay-Allemand
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-414, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-414, 2021
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Short summary
We compared three hydrological models in a flash flood modelling framework. We first identified the sensitive parameters of each model, then compared their performances in terms of outlet discharge and soil moisture simulation. We found out that resulting from the differences in their complexities/process representation, performance depends on the aspect/measure used. The study then highlights and proposed some future investigations/modifications to improve the models.
Juliette Godet, Pierre Nicolle, Nabil Hocini, Eric Gaume, Philippe Davy, Frederic Pons, Pierre Javelle, Pierre-André Garambois, Dimitri Lague, and Olivier Payrastre
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-472, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-472, 2024
Preprint under review for ESSD
Short summary
Short summary
This paper describes a dataset that includes input, output, and validation data for the simulation of flash flood hazards and three specific flash flood events in the French Mediterranean region. This dataset is particularly valuable as flood mapping methods often lack sufficient benchmark data. Additionally, we demonstrate how the hydraulic method we used, named Floodos, produces highly satisfactory results.
Juliette Godet, Eric Gaume, Pierre Javelle, Pierre Nicolle, and Olivier Payrastre
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 1403–1413, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1403-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1403-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This work was performed in order to precisely address a point that is often neglected by hydrologists: the allocation of points located on a river network to grid cells, which is often a mandatory step for hydrological modelling.
Guillaume Evin, Matthieu Le Lay, Catherine Fouchier, David Penot, Francois Colleoni, Alexandre Mas, Pierre-André Garambois, and Olivier Laurantin
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 261–281, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-261-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-261-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Hydrological modelling of mountainous catchments is challenging for many reasons, the main one being the temporal and spatial representation of precipitation forcings. This study presents an evaluation of the hydrological modelling of 55 small mountainous catchments of the northern French Alps, focusing on the influence of the type of precipitation reanalyses used as inputs. These evaluations emphasize the added value of radar measurements, in particular for the reproduction of flood events.
Reyhaneh Hashemi, Pierre Javelle, Olivier Delestre, and Saman Razavi
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-282, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-282, 2023
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Short summary
Here, we have tackled the challenge of estimating water flow in areas without direct measurements, a crucial task in hydrology. We have applied deep learning techniques to a large sample of French catchments with various hydrological regimes. We have also compared our approach with traditional methods. We found that incorporating more data improves the accuracy of our deep learning predictions. Notably, our method outperforms traditional approaches in certain regimes, though not universally.
Juliette Godet, Olivier Payrastre, Pierre Javelle, and François Bouttier
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3355–3377, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3355-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3355-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
This article results from a master's research project which was part of a natural hazards programme developed by the French Ministry of Ecological Transition. The objective of this work was to investigate a possible way to improve the operational flash flood warning service by adding rainfall forecasts upstream of the forecasting chain. The results showed that the tested forecast product, which is new and experimental, has a real added value compared to other classical forecast products.
Yves Tramblay, Patrick Arnaud, Guillaume Artigue, Michel Lang, Emmanuel Paquet, Luc Neppel, and Eric Sauquet
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2973–2987, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2973-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2973-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Mediterranean floods are causing major damage, and recent studies have shown that, despite the increase in intense rainfall, there has been no increase in river floods. This study reveals that the seasonality of floods changed in the Mediterranean Basin during 1959–2021. There was also an increased frequency of floods linked to short episodes of intense rain, associated with a decrease in soil moisture. These changes need to be taken into consideration to adapt flood warning systems.
Reyhaneh Hashemi, Pierre Brigode, Pierre-André Garambois, and Pierre Javelle
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5793–5816, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5793-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5793-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Hydrologists have long dreamed of a tool that could adequately predict runoff in catchments. Data-driven long short-term memory (LSTM) models appear very promising to the hydrology community in this respect. Here, we have sought to benefit from traditional practices in hydrology to improve the effectiveness of LSTM models. We discovered that one LSTM parameter has a hydrologic interpretation and that there is a need to increase the data and to tune two parameters, thereby improving predictions.
Léo Pujol, Pierre-André Garambois, and Jérôme Monnier
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6085–6113, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6085-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6085-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This contribution presents a new numerical model for representing hydraulic–hydrological quantities at the basin scale. It allows modeling large areas at a low computational cost, with fine zooms where needed. It allows the integration of local and satellite measurements, via data assimilation methods, to improve the model's match to observations. Using this capability, good matches to in situ observations are obtained on a model of the complex Adour river network with fine zooms on floodplains.
François Colleoni, Pierre-André Garambois, Pierre Javelle, Maxime Jay-Allemand, and Patrick Arnaud
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-506, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-506, 2022
Preprint archived
Short summary
Short summary
This contribution presents the first evaluation of Variational Data Assimilation successfully applied over a large sample to the spatially distributed calibration of a newly taylored grid-based parsimonious model structure and corresponding adjoint. High performances are obtained in spatio-temporal validation and at flood time scales, especially for mediterranenan and oceanic catchments. Regional sensitivity analysis revealed the importance of the non conservative and production components.
Abubakar Haruna, Pierre-Andre Garambois, Helene Roux, Pierre Javelle, and Maxime Jay-Allemand
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-414, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-414, 2021
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Short summary
We compared three hydrological models in a flash flood modelling framework. We first identified the sensitive parameters of each model, then compared their performances in terms of outlet discharge and soil moisture simulation. We found out that resulting from the differences in their complexities/process representation, performance depends on the aspect/measure used. The study then highlights and proposed some future investigations/modifications to improve the models.
Maxime Jay-Allemand, Pierre Javelle, Igor Gejadze, Patrick Arnaud, Pierre-Olivier Malaterre, Jean-Alain Fine, and Didier Organde
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5519–5538, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5519-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5519-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This study contributes to flash flood prediction using a hydrological model. The model describes the spatial properties of the watersheds with hundreds of unknown parameters. The Gardon d'Anduze watershed is chosen as the study benchmark. A sophisticated numerical algorithm and the downstream discharge measurements make the identification of the model parameters possible. Results provide better model predictions and relevant spatial variability of some parameters inside this watershed.
Nathalie Folton, Eric Martin, Patrick Arnaud, Pierre L'Hermite, and Mathieu Tolsa
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2699–2714, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2699-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2699-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
The long-term study of precipitation, flows, flood or drought mechanisms, in the Réal Collobrier research Watershed, located in South-East France, in the Mediterranean forest, improves knowledge of the water cycle and is unique tool for understanding of how catchments function. This study shows a small decrease in rainfall and a marked tendency towards a decrease in the water resources of the catchment in response to climate trends, with a consistent increase in drought severity and duration.
Clotilde Saint-Martin, Pierre Javelle, and Freddy Vinet
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 10, 1019–1029, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-1019-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-1019-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
DamaGIS is a GIS database which aims to collect and assess the severity of flood-related damage. The reason for creating this database is the lack of precise damage data available to calibrate and validate flood risk assessment models. To this end, DamaGIS offers highly precise and easily accessible flood-related damage data. It uses multiple sources such as social networks. Since 2011, 729 damages caused by 23 flood events in the south of France have been reported within the database.
D. Defrance, P. Javelle, D. Organde, S. Ecrepont, V. Andréassian, and P. Arnaud
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-11-4365-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-11-4365-2014, 2014
Revised manuscript has not been submitted
Cited articles
Arnaud, P., Colleoni, F., Demargne, J., Ettalbi, M., Folton, N., Fouchier, C., Garambois, P., Gejadze, I., Godet, J., Haruna, A., Huynh Ngo Nghi, T., Javelle, P., Jay-Allemand, M., Organde, D., Paluszkiewicz, M., Pujol, K., Renard, B., Vigoureux, S., and Villenave, L.: The SMASH platform: Spatially distributed Modelling and ASsimilation for Hydrology, https://smash.recover.inrae.fr/index.html (last access: 12 May 2023), 2023. a
Beck, H. E., Pan, M., Lin, P., Seibert, J., van Dijk, A. I. J. M., and Wood, E. F.: Global Fully Distributed Parameter Regionalization Based on Observed Streamflow From 4,229 Headwater Catchments, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 125, e2019JD031485, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031485, 2020. a
Champeaux, J.-L., Dupuy, P., Laurantin, O., Soulan, I., Tabary, P., and Soubeyroux, J.-M.: Les mesures de précipitations et l'estimation des lames d'eau à Météo-France: état de l'art et perspectives, LHB, 5, 28–34, https://doi.org/10.1051/lhb/2009052, 2009. a
De Lavenne, A., Andréassian, V., Thirel, G., Ramos, M.-H., and Perrin, C.: . A regularization approach to improve the sequential calibration of a semidistributed hydrological model, Water Resour. Res., 55, 8821–8839, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024266, 2019. a
Gourley, J. J., Flamig, Z. L., Vergara, H., Kirstetter, P.-E., Clark, R. A., Argyle, E., Arthur, A., Martinaitis, S., Terti, G., Erlingis, J. M., Hong, Y., and Howard, K. W.: The FLASH Project: Improving the Tools for Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction across the United States, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 98, 361–372, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00247.1, 2017. a
Gupta, H. V., Kling, H., Yilmaz, K. K., and Martinez, G. F.: Decomposition of the mean squared error and NSE performance criteria: Implications for improving hydrological modelling, J. Hydrol., 377, 80–91, 2009. a
Hascoet, L. and Pascual, V.: The Tapenade Automatic Differentiation tool: principles, model, and specification, ACM T. Math. Softw., 39, p. 43, https://doi.org/10.1145/2450153.2450158, 2013. a
Javelle, P., Organde, D., Demargne, J., Saint-Martin, C., de Saint-Aubin, C., Garandeau, L., and Janet, B.: Setting up a French national flash flood warning system for ungauged catchments based on the AIGA method, in: 3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management FLOODrisk 2016, vol. 7, p. 11, https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160718010, 2016. a
Javelle, P., Saint-Martin, C., Garandeau, L., and Janet, B.: Flash flood warnings: Recent achievements in France with the national Vigicrues Flash system, UNDRR GAR, https://www.undrr.org/publication/flash-flood-warnings-recent-achievements-france-national-vigicrues-flash-system (last access: 9 May 2023), 2019. a, b
Jay-Allemand, M., Javelle, P., Gejadze, I., Arnaud, P., Malaterre, P.-O., Fine, J.-A., and Organde, D.: On the potential of variational calibration for a fully distributed hydrological model: application on a Mediterranean catchment, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5519–5538, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5519-2020, 2020. a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h
Klemeš, V.: Operational testing of hydrological simulation models, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 31, 13–24, 1986. a
Laurantin, O.: ANTILOPE: hourly rainfall analysis over France merging radar and rain gauges data, in: Proceedings of the 11th International Precipitation Conference, edited by: Leijnse, H. and Uijlenhoet, R., KNMI, Ede-Wageningen, the Netherlands, 30 June to 3 July 2013. a
Mizukami, N., Clark, M. P., Newman, A. J., Wood, A. W., Gutmann, E. D., Nijssen, B., Rakovec, O., and Samaniego, L.: Towards seamless large-domain parameter estimation for hydrologic models, Water Resour. Res., 53, 8020–8040, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR020401, 2017. a
Nash, J. and Sutcliffe, J.: River flow forecasting through conceptual models, Part I. A conceptual models discussion of principles, J. Hydrol., 10, 282–290, 1970. a
Odry, J. and Arnaud, P.: Comparison of Flood Frequency Analysis Methods for Ungauged Catchments in France, Geosciences, 7, 88, https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences7030088, 2017. a
Parajka, J., Merz, R., and Blöschl, G.: A comparison of regionalisation methods for catchment model parameters, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 157–171, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-9-157-2005, 2005. a
Poncelet, C.: Du bassin au paramètre : jusqu'où peut-on régionaliser un modèle hydrologique conceptuel?, Theses, Université Pierre et Marie Curie – Paris VI, https://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-01529196 (last access: 9 May 2023), 2016. a
Samaniego, L., Kumar, R., and Attinger, S.: Multiscale parameter regionalization of a grid-based hydrologic model at the mesoscale, Water Resour. Res., 46, W05523, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008WR007327, 2010. a, b
Sebben, M. L., Werner, A. D., Liggett, J. E., Partington, D., and Simmons, C. T.: On the testing of fully integrated surface–subsurface hydrological models, Hydrol. Process., 27, 1276–1285, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9630, 2013. a
Seibert, J.: Regionalisation of parameters for a conceptual rainfall-runoff model, Agr. Forest Meteorol., 98–99, 279–293, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-1923(99)00105-7, 1999. a
Zhu, C., Byrd, R. H., Lu, P., and Nocedal, J.: L-BFGS-B: a limited memory FORTRAN code for solving bound constrained optimization problems, EECS Department, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, Technical Report No. NAM-11, https://doi.org/10.1145/279232.279236, 1994. a
Short summary
This work targets the improvement of a hydrologic model used for flash flood warnings. A gridded model is used to spatially describe the hydrological processes. We develop a method to estimate the best model setup based on scarce river flow observations. It uses a complex algorithm combined with geographical descriptors to generate gridded parameters that better capture catchment characteristics. Results are promising, improving the discharge estimations where no observations are available.
This work targets the improvement of a hydrologic model used for flash flood warnings. A gridded...