Articles | Volume 385
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-385-121-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-385-121-2024
Post-conference publication
 | 
18 Apr 2024
Post-conference publication |  | 18 Apr 2024

Future shifting of annual extreme flows under climate change in the Volta River basin

Moctar Dembélé, Mathieu Vrac, Natalie Ceperley, Sander J. Zwart, Josh Larsen, Simon J. Dadson, Grégoire Mariéthoz, and Bettina Schaefli

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Cited articles

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Brunner, M. I., Slater, L., Tallaksen, L. M., and Clark, M.: Challenges in modeling and predicting floods and droughts: A review, WIRES Water, 8, e1520, https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1520, 2021. 
Chagnaud, G., Panthou, G., Vischel, T., and Lebel, T.: A synthetic view of rainfall intensification in the West African Sahel, Environ. Res. Lett., 17, 044005, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4a9c, 2022. 
Dembélé, M.: Database for the manuscript “Improving the predictive skill of a distributed hydrological model by calibration on spatial patterns with multiple satellite datasets”, Zenodo [data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3531873, 2019. 
Dembélé, M.: Spatially explicit hydrological modelling for water accounting under climate change in the Volta River Basin in West Africa, PhD, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, 271 pp., https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.15664.58885, 2020. 
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Short summary
This study assesses the impact of climate change on the timing, seasonality and magnitude of mean annual minimum (MAM) flows and annual maximum flows (AMF) in the Volta River basin (VRB). Several climate change projection data are use to simulate river flow under multiple greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Future projections show that AMF could increase with various magnitude but negligible shift in time across the VRB, while MAM could decrease with up to 14 days of delay in occurrence.