Articles | Volume 374
Proc. IAHS, 374, 41–51, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-374-41-2016
Proc. IAHS, 374, 41–51, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-374-41-2016

  17 Oct 2016

17 Oct 2016

Crystal balls into the future: are global circulation and water balance models ready?

Balázs M. Fekete et al.

Data sets

Bias corrected GCM input data for ISIMIP Fast Track. GFZ Data Services S. Hempel, K. Frieler, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, and F. Piontek http://doi.org/10.5880/PIK.2016.001

The Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) downscaled climate forcing data European Network for Earth System Modeling (ENES) https://verc.enes.org

Matsuura Climate Data (air temperature and precipitation} C. J. Willmott http://climate.geog.udel.edu/~climate

The global water balance model results ISIMIP https://www.isimip.org

The results of the European water balance model experiments P. van der Linden http://ensembles-eu.metoffice.com

WBMplus B. M. Fekete https://github.com/bmfekete/WBMplus

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Short summary
Variabilities and changes due to natural and anthropogenic causes in the water cycle always presented a challenge for water management planning. Practitioners traditionally coped with variabilities in the hydrological processes by assuming stationarity. Recently, this practice was questioned and more reliance on Global Circulation Models was put forward as an alternative. This paper takes a brief assessment of the state of Global Circulation Models (GCM) and their applications.