Crystal balls into the future: are global circulation and water balance models ready?

Fekete, Balázs M.; Pisacane, Giovanna; Wisser, Dominik

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-374-41-2016

Articles | Volume 374

https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-374-41-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-374-41-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 374

17 Oct 2016

| 17 Oct 2016

Crystal balls into the future: are global circulation and water balance models ready?

Balázs M. Fekete, Giovanna Pisacane, and Dominik Wisser

Data sets

Bias corrected GCM input data for ISIMIP Fast Track. GFZ Data Services S. Hempel, K. Frieler, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, and F. Piontek http://doi.org/10.5880/PIK.2016.001

The Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) downscaled climate forcing data European Network for Earth System Modeling (ENES) https://verc.enes.org

Matsuura Climate Data (air temperature and precipitation} C. J. Willmott http://climate.geog.udel.edu/~climate

The global water balance model results ISIMIP https://www.isimip.org

The results of the European water balance model experiments P. van der Linden http://ensembles-eu.metoffice.com

WBMplus B. M. Fekete https://github.com/bmfekete/WBMplus

Short summary

Variabilities and changes due to natural and anthropogenic causes in the water cycle always presented a challenge for water management planning. Practitioners traditionally coped with variabilities in the hydrological processes by assuming stationarity. Recently, this practice was questioned and more reliance on Global Circulation Models was put forward as an alternative. This paper takes a brief assessment of the state of Global Circulation Models (GCM) and their applications.