Articles | Volume 371
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-89-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-89-2015
12 Jun 2015
 | 12 Jun 2015

Drought assessment and trends analysis from 20th century to 21st century over China

X. L. Yang, L. L. Ren, R. Tong, Y. Liu, X. R. Cheng, S. H. Jiang, and F. Yuan

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Cited articles

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Li, H. B., Sheffield, J., and Wood, E. F.: Bias correction of monthly precipitation and temperature fields from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change AR4 models using equidistant quantile matching, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 115, D10101, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012882, 2010.
McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., and Kleist, J.: The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, in: Proc. Eight Conf. on Applied Climatology, 17–22 January, Anaheim, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA, 179–184, 1993.
Moreira, E. E., Paulo, A. A., Pereira, L. S., and Mexia, J. T.: Analysis of SPI drought class transitions using loglinear models, J. Hydrol., 331, 349–359, 2006.
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7 CMIP5 climate models under RCP8.5 emissions scenarios were downscaled by means of bilinear interpolation and bias correction. The downscaled results are evaluated over China by comparing with the England Reanalysis CRU3.1. Time series of SPI has been used to identify drought from 20th century to 21st century over China. the SPI show a slightly increasing trend in the future period for the most parts of China, but drought in Southwest region of China will become the norm in the future.