<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing with OASIS Tables v3.0 20080202//EN" "journalpub-oasis3.dtd">
<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0"><?xmltex \bartext{Hydrological processes and water security in a changing world}?>
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">PIAHS</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">PIAHS</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Proc. IAHS</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2199-899X</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/piahs-383-185-2020</article-id><title-group><article-title>Urban flood modelling in Qiqihar city<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> based on MIKE flood</article-title><alt-title>Urban flood modelling in Qiqihar city</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Urban flood modelling in Qiqihar city}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{J.~Liu et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1 aff2">
          <name><surname>Liu</surname><given-names>Jiahong</given-names></name>
          <email>liujh@iwhr.com</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Li</surname><given-names>Zejin</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Shao</surname><given-names>Weiwei</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3">
          <name><surname>Yan</surname><given-names>Dianyi</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Mei</surname><given-names>Chao</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in
River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,
Beijing, 100038, China</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>School of Transportation and Civil Engineering and Architecture,
Foshan University,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> Guangdong, 528000, China</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Yangtze River Eco-Environment Engineering Research Cente, China Three Gorges Corporation,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> Beijing, 100038, China</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Jiahong Liu (liujh@iwhr.com)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>16</day><month>September</month><year>2020</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>383</volume>
      <fpage>185</fpage><lpage>192</lpage>
      
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2020 </copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e123">Qiqihar is a significant city on the Nen River in China,
which is the main stream of the Songhua River basin. The length of the
return period of Qiqihar's flood control design standard is fifty years. If
a 100-year flood event happened, Qiqihar would face the risk of a burst
levee. To quantitatively evaluate flood risk to the city from a burst levee
or proactive flood diversion, a model for analysing flood submergence from a
burst levee in the City of Qiqihar is established based on MIKE Flood. The
model integrates one- and two-dimensional hydrodynamic models to implement
coupled simulation. The terrain data are from city elevation data on a scale
of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Following local modifications made based on survey data, such
as on levees, roads, and buildings, a 20 m <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 20 m grid of terrain
data was formed as the terrain input of the model. The model simulates the
water level of Nen River and the flood path, submerged time/depth/area, and
duration in floodplain under three scenarios: baseline, proactive downstream
flood diversion, and an upstream levee burst under a flood with a one
hundred-year return period. Proactive downstream flood diversion can reduce
the maximum water level by 0.068 m and correspondingly decrease peak flood
flow by 1120 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. These results provide basic information to support
urban flood risk analysis and flood dispatching and management across the
whole river basin.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e178">Flood protection levees are a vitally important hydraulic structure; if a
levee bursts, it will bring immeasurable losses. The evolution of
levee-bursting floods is an important factor in evaluating urban flooding
risk. There are two main types of models that simulate urban flooding:
static and dynamic models. Static models focus on statistical representation
of simulation results while dynamic models focus on the changes that take
place during the whole flooding period (Siddiqui et al., 2011). Two-dimensional hydrodynamic
models are the most widely used type of model, are based on exact physical
significance, and can dynamically predict and simulate the flood process
(Shirvan et al., 2013). Hydrodynamic models include: the MIKE models developed by the Danish
Hydraulic Institute (DHI) (Danish Hydraulic Institute, 2012a, b, c, d; Wang et al., 2017), the SWMM model developed by the USA EPA
(Beck, 2016), and the LISFLOOD model developed by the European Commission Joint
Research Centre (Van der Knijff et al., 2010), amongst others (Teng et al., 2017). Many researchers have applied
numerical simulation techniques and proposed new perspectives and concepts
(Soares-Frazão et al., 2008; Chen et al., 2009). Based on two-dimensional Saint-Venant equations, different
discrete methods are used to obtain different calculation stabilities,
accuracies, and applications. Among them, the finite volume method has been
widely used due to its conservativeness and geometric flexibility (Caleffi et al., 2003). In
addition, some researchers have drawn on the methods and techniques of other
academic fields, such as neural networks (Kia et al., 2012) and cellular automata (Guidolin et al.,<?pagebreak page186?> 2016).
These methods are beneficial for decreasing calculation complexity and
reducing calculation time. This paper dynamically couples the MIKE 11 HD and
MIKE 21 HD models. The one- and two-dimensional models are linked through
setting up a virtual river. Use of both models allows exploitation of their
advantages whilst avoiding some problems – such as simulation efficiency and
accuracy – that arise when the models are applied separately. Based on a 100 year return period designed flood event, the flooding process is simulated
and analysed in Qiqihar City.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Methodology</title>
      <p id="d1e189">The urban flood simulation system is established based on the MIKE 11 and
MIKE 21 hydrodynamic (HD) models. The coupled model is called MIKE FLOOD and
is used to simulate the inundation processes, duration, and inundation area
within urban areas, which can provide decision support for flood management.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>MIKE 11 hydrodynamic model</title>
      <p id="d1e199">MIKE 11 HD is mainly used for flood forecasting, dispatching measures,
canal/irrigation system design, and dispatch and storm surge research. The
basic aim of MIKE 11 HD is to provide hydrological factors, such as river
water level and discharge process of each river section. It is solved by
one-dimensional unsteady flow Saint-Venant equations based on vertical
integration. Water level and discharge at each grid point are calculated
alternately by the Abbott-Ionescu six points implicit scheme (Fig. 1), and
the discrete equations are solved using the chasing method.

                <disp-formula specific-use="gather" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M5" display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E1"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>1</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E2"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>2</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>u</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>u</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="|" close="|"><mml:mi>u</mml:mi></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the water level of the channel section, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is discharge, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mi>u</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is average
velocity, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the width of the river cross-section, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is lateral flow,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is hydraulic radius, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mi>C</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the Chezy coefficient, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are position and
time coordinates.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e395">Water points and discharge points of the Abbott scheme.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>MIKE 21 hydrodynamic model</title>
      <p id="d1e412">MIKE 21 HD is mainly used to simulate two-dimensional free surface flow.
This module can simulate changes in water level and discharge due to the
impact of various forces in lakes, river mouths, and coastal areas. When the
user provides terrain data, Manning coefficients, wind fields, and
hydrodynamic boundary conditions, the model can simulate changes in water
level and discharge in each grid. The model uses the finite difference
method of alternating-difference implicit (ADI) second-term accuracy to
solve the mass equation and momentum equation of dynamic flow. This model
can describe various hydraulic phenomena, such as tidal exchange, tidal
flow, storm surge, whirlpools, surface undulation, dam bursts, and tsunamis. The
equations take into account many factors, such as Coriolis force (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ω</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, wind force (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>), and atmospheric pressure (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). The variables <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ζ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> represent water level, water depth, elevation, and discharge
in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-  and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-directions respectively.

                <disp-formula specific-use="gather" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M25" display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E3"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>3</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ζ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E4"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>4</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mtable class="split" rowspacing="0.2ex" columnspacing="1em" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ζ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:msup><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ω</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E5"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>5</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mtable class="split" rowspacing="0.2ex" columnspacing="1em" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ζ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:msup><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="[" close="]"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ω</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <label>2.3</label><title>MIKE Flood model</title>
      <p id="d1e1042">The MIKE Flood model dynamically couples the one-dimensional (MIKE 11 HD)
and two-dimensional (MIKE 21 HD) models. The coupled model can take
advantage of the benefits of both models, and can solve problems of spatial
resolution and computation that often occur when the two models are used
separately. In this study, the MIKE Flood model was used to simulate the
two-dimensional flood evolution path, submerged area, and duration in urban
areas as well as one-dimensional river flood overtopping and levee bursts.</p>
      <p id="d1e1045">MIKE Flood provides two different approaches to link one-dimensional and
two-dimensional models, namely standard and lateral links, which are fitted
for different occasions.<?pagebreak page187?> An important part of MIKE Flood model application
is link selection and creation.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3.SSS1">
  <label>2.3.1</label><title>Standard links</title>
      <p id="d1e1055">Standard links in MIKE Flood correspond to one or more MIKE 21 grids linked
to the beginning or end of MIKE 11 sections. This link can simulate
submersion processes in urban inflow areas after levee bursts, by setting up
a virtual river canal (Fig. 2). The section of MIKE 11 is connected to grids
of MIKE 21 by Weir flow formula.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3.SSS2">
  <label>2.3.2</label><title>Lateral links</title>
      <p id="d1e1066">Lateral links are a series of grids linked with part or all of MIKE 11 side
by side (Fig. 2). Flow through the lateral links is calculated using
hydraulic structure formulae or water level-discharge relations. This type
of link is particularly suitable for flood simulation from river to
floodplain.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1071">Standard and lateral links.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f02.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Datasets for urban flood modelling in Qiqihar</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Terrain data</title>
      <p id="d1e1097">Basic terrain data of Qiqihar are available on a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> scale, and are
supplemented with road, house, and urban residence community datasets (Fig. 3). The datasets were converted into 20 m <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 20 m grids using ArcGIS 9.3 software. The grid terrain data was input to the MIKE Flood model to
simulate the urban submersion process in Qiqihar City.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>Manning roughness coefficient data</title>
      <p id="d1e1130">Manning roughness coefficients (MRC) for urban terrain are discussed in
DHI's global urban flood simulation projects in the past decades (Wang and Hartnack, 2006).
Choice of different values of MRC will affect the flood peak time and to
some extent the flow path within the urban area, but has little impact on
the inundation area and flood depth (for a given design flood event, within
the given flood duration the total breach volume could reduce as MRC
increases). Roughness values are evaluated mainly on the basis of land use
types. For instance, the roughness coefficient is set to 0.08 for developed
areas, such as the leisure square with low buildings, gardens, and dense
vegetation area; and in open space comprising grassland, sparse vegetation,
streets, and pavements is set to 0.06. In similar projects in Germany,
roughness coefficients in urban areas, streets, and gardens are set at
0.040–0.067 (considering the influence of pavements and vehicles parked on
roads, the roughness coefficient of paths is larger); for vegetation are set
at 0.05–0.2 (0.2 in dense young forest and 0.05 in open agricultural
areas); and in other areas are set at 0.033–0.1, according to landscape
features. Roughness coefficients in this study are not less than 0.033 (Fig. 4).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e1135">Location and residence data of Qiqihar (the black line around is
MIKE Flood simulation grid boundary).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e1146">Distribution of Manning roughness coefficients.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1156">Based on the analysis above and field investigations, the principles of
determining all-terrain roughness coefficients for Qiqihar are as follows:
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1161">Urban roads in the simulated city are generally wider, some main roads
have central reservations, and some have green verges on both sides of the
road. There are generally pavements on both sides and varying amounts of
vehicles on the road at any one time. Therefore, the roughness coefficient
of the main roads is set at 0.06.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1165">Vegetation in parks is generally dense, so the roughness coefficient is
set at 0.083.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1169">In suburbs and other open spaces, there are no buildings and land cover
is mainly grass or crops, so the roughness coefficient is set at 0.06.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1173">Buildings usually interrupt water flow, which can store water inside. The
roughness coefficient is set at 0.2 for buildings (houses and urban
residence communities).</p></list-item></list></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <label>3.3</label><title>Hydrological data</title>
      <p id="d1e1184">Basic hydrological data were used for scenario simulation, including the
once-in-a-century design flood process upstream of the Qiqihar hydrological
station, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-<inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> curve in the downstream section (Jiangqiao hydrological
station) and design flood/peak/discharge in Nen River (Fig. 5).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Simulation scenarios</title>
      <p id="d1e1210">There are three simulation scenarios, which are shown in Table 1. In
scenario 2 and 3, there are two burst points. The burst point of Daang
embankment (Water Gate 2 in Fig. 8) is set for flood diversion, and the
burst point at “7 km point of west embankment” (Water Gate 1 in Fig. 8)
is set for flood damage simulation. The burst point of Daang embankment is
select according to the Qiqihar City Flood Prevention Scheme. Because the
outside of Daang embankment is a reserved flood storage area, and the main
stream of Nenjiang River turns from the southward to the westward, which is
the best point for flood diversion. The burst point at “7 km point of west
embankment” is select by “the most unfavorable principle”. In other
words, if there is a collapse at this point, the city will suffer the
greatest flooding. The “7 km point of west embankment” is located at the
upstream of<?pagebreak page188?> Qiqihar. The flood through this point will flood over throughout
the whole city, thus it is the most appropriate point by “the most
unfavorable principle”.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><title>MIKE 11 HD basic parameters</title>
      <p id="d1e1220">Qiqihar City lies on the bank of the Nen River, which is upstream of Songhua
River. The 1-D hydrodynamic model is established between CS31 and CS64,
where the main stream of Nen River flows from 169 437  to 320 987 m (Fig. 6). The section position identification, such as 169 437  and 320 987 m, is
a relative distance. The start point is at the dam of Nierji reservoir,
which is a large and very important reservoir in the upper reaches of the
Nenjiang River.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e1225">Design flood hydrograph of 100-year return period.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e1236">Main sections of one-dimensional model.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=213.395669pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1246">The upstream boundary condition of the model is the discharge of a 100-year
return flood that occurred in August 1998. The downstream boundary condition
of the model is the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-<inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> curve at Jiangqiao hydrological station in section
CS64, which is more than 150 km from Qiqihar City and has little effect on
the upstream water level.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page189?><sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><title>MIKE 21 HD basic parameters</title>
      <p id="d1e1272">After considering the topography and elevation of Qiqihar City, the real
land elevation is defined as 165 m, which means regions where elevation is
higher than 165 m are not included in the model. In order to satisfy the
requirements of lateral links, the river is filled with land (because the
river is calculated by a one-dimensional model and is not included in the
two-dimensional simulation process).</p>
      <p id="d1e1275">The Nen River runs through the whole of Qiqihar City and divides the city
into the main urban and Hulan Ergi regions. The model uses a 20 m <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 20 m grid and the total calculated areas are <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2081</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1881</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 400 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1565.7</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The actual calculation areas cover about
430 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, after removing the areas outside the boundary and inside the
river, and urban areas that are not involved in simulation, as shown in Fig. 7. The boundary is set along the levee in the research area. The levee is
surveyed and mapped by Songliao Water Conservancy Commission and provided in
shape file of ArcGIS.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e1339">Simulation area of two-dimensional model in Qiqihar.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <label>4.3</label><title>MIKE Flood basic parameters</title>
      <p id="d1e1358">The complete design flood process over one month is simulated, with a time
step of 3 s. In order to simulate the defence level of the Qiqihar City
levee in resisting the Nen River flood and to analyse locations and times
where dangerous overtopping in levees may occur, all urban levees are linked
with the main stream of Nen River by lateral links.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS4">
  <label>4.4</label><title>Levee burst simulation parameters</title>
      <p id="d1e1370">The simulation of urban levee burst outfall is mainly used to analyse the
urban inundation range, duration, and water depth distribution after the
most dangerous levee section is broken. As there is no module in the MIKE
Flood model designed especially for levee bursts, a water gate is used to
simulate the burst process. When the water level in the river rises to the
levee burst control threshold, the gate is opened, which corresponds to the
levee having burst. The gate will not close until the flood is over. There
are two water gates in this simulation, one to simulate the bursting of the
west embankment in Qiqihar, and the other to simulate the flood diversion at
Daang embankment (Fig. 8). MIKE 11 HD and MIKE 21 HD are linked by adding
the virtual river at the two water gates.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e1375">Simulation area of MIKE Flood and setting model links.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f08.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <label>5</label><title>Results</title>
      <p id="d1e1394">Three scenarios were simulated (Table 1). The first is a baseline (normal)
for comparison. The second simulates the flood control effect of proactive
downstream flood diversion. The<?pagebreak page190?> third simulates flooding processes when the
west embankment of Qiqihar bursts.</p>
      <p id="d1e1397"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>In scenario 2, the highest water level decreases by 0.068 m and peak flow
discharge decreases by 1120 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> after flood diversion. The water level
and discharge at Qiqihar hydrological station (CS35) are shown in Figs. 9
and 10. The submerged area reaches a maximum 5 d after
implementation of flood diversion measures. The maximum submerged area is
about 50 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and the maximum submerged depth is 3.5 m, as shown in
Fig. 11.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e1434">Simulation scenarios for urban flooding in Qiqihar.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="justify" colwidth="2cm"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="justify" colwidth="2cm"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">No.</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Flood Scheme</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Flood Control</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Levee</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(return period)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Measures</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Bursts</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">100-year</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">None</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">100-year</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Flood diversion<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>at Daang<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>embankment</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">100-year</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">None</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Bursts at  7 km<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>point  of west<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>embankment</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e1540">In scenario 3, it is assumed that the west embankment of Qiqihar bursts when
the water level reaches the threshold of a 30-year return flood. The
simulation results show that the discharge when the levee is broken is 328 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and the water level decreases by 0.05 m after the levee bursts.
About 7 d after the burst, the submerged area reaches a maximum (nearly
100 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), or about <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of the calculation area. The maximum depth of
submersion is 3.2 m. Figure 12 shows the submerged area and depth 7 d after
the burst.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e1587">Water level at Qiqihar hydrological station (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f09.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F10"><?xmltex \currentcnt{10}?><label>Figure 10</label><caption><p id="d1e1610">Discharge at Qiqihar hydrologic station (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f10.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F11"><?xmltex \currentcnt{11}?><label>Figure 11</label><caption><p id="d1e1633">Submerged area in scenario 2. </p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f11.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F12"><?xmltex \currentcnt{12}?><label>Figure 12</label><caption><p id="d1e1645">Submerged area in
scenario 3.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/383/185/2020/piahs-383-185-2020-f12.png"/>

      </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>6</label><title>Discussion and conclusion</title>
      <p id="d1e1662">This paper has established an urban flood model based on MIKE Flood, which
integrates MIKE 11 HD and MIKE 21 HD models. MIKE Flood software is suitable
for urban flood simulation, but still presents some problems, such as
computational stability and the simulation of water<?pagebreak page191?> inflow in buildings.
Since the urban flood model simulates the process of levee bursts, flow
discharge changes suddenly and rapidly and the time step must be short in
order to ensure stability and accuracy of the simulation. For the
two-dimensional model, a time step of 3 s significantly decreases the
calculation speed of the urban inflow process. With an increase in grid
points, simulation time increases obviously. However, if the variable time
step method is used, results of the two-dimensional model must be further
processed following simulation.</p>
      <p id="d1e1665">The model simulates the flood inflow of buildings by increasing roughness in
building areas, which reflects the blocking and backing effect of buildings
to water. However, this method is subjective and cannot reflect actual
building inflow processes. Furthermore, the roughness coefficients are
sensitive to discharge and velocity calculation, which may introduce random
errors.</p>
      <p id="d1e1668">This study has simulated three scenarios of urban flooding in Qiqihar,
despite the above problems. The result is reasonable and provides key
technical support for urban flood control in Qiqihar. Comparing the
proactive flood diversion scenario and upstream levee burst scenario, the
former has less submerged area and a better effect on flood control. In
addition, the submerged areas in the former scenario are mainly in rural
regions, reducing losses caused by submersion. Therefore, proactive flood
diversion is an effective measure to reduce losses resulting from urban
floods.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e1675">Cross-sections geometry from Songhua River Project (2006), DEM data available on <uri>http://gdex.cr.usgs.gov/gdex/</uri>, last access: 13 June 2018 and Digital orthophotography purchased from China Centre for Resources Satellite and Application (<uri>http://www.cresda.com/CN/</uri>, last access: 20 April 2019).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e1687">Methodology, JL and WS;
datasets preparation, DY and CM; software and
simulation, ZL and CM; writing, JL and ZL.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e1693">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="sistatement"><title>Special issue statement</title>

      <p id="d1e1699">This article is part of the special issue “Hydrological processes and water security in a changing world”. It is a result of the 8th Global FRIEND–Water Conference: Hydrological Processes and Water Security in a Changing World, Beijing, China, 6–9 November 2018.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e1705">This study was supported by the Chinese National Natural Science Foundation
(no. 51739011), the National Key Research and Development Program of China
(2016YFC0401401 and 2018YFC1508203), and the Research Fund<?pagebreak page192?> of the State Key
Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China
Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research (SKL2020ZY03).</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e1710">This research has been supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and Research Fund of the State Key Laboratory (grant nos. 51739011 and SKL2020ZY03). It is also supported by the National Key Research and
Development Program of China (grant nos. 2016YFC0401401 and
2018YFC1508203).</p>
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  </ref-list></back>
    <!--<article-title-html>Urban flood modelling in Qiqihar city based on MIKE flood</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>Qiqihar is a significant city on the Nen River in China,
which is the main stream of the Songhua River basin. The length of the
return period of Qiqihar's flood control design standard is fifty years. If
a 100-year flood event happened, Qiqihar would face the risk of a burst
levee. To quantitatively evaluate flood risk to the city from a burst levee
or proactive flood diversion, a model for analysing flood submergence from a
burst levee in the City of Qiqihar is established based on MIKE Flood. The
model integrates one- and two-dimensional hydrodynamic models to implement
coupled simulation. The terrain data are from city elevation data on a scale
of 1:10 000. Following local modifications made based on survey data, such
as on levees, roads, and buildings, a 20&thinsp;m&thinsp; × &thinsp;20&thinsp;m grid of terrain
data was formed as the terrain input of the model. The model simulates the
water level of Nen River and the flood path, submerged time/depth/area, and
duration in floodplain under three scenarios: baseline, proactive downstream
flood diversion, and an upstream levee burst under a flood with a one
hundred-year return period. Proactive downstream flood diversion can reduce
the maximum water level by 0.068&thinsp;m and correspondingly decrease peak flood
flow by 1120&thinsp;m<sup>3</sup>&thinsp;s<sup>−1</sup>. These results provide basic information to support
urban flood risk analysis and flood dispatching and management across the
whole river basin.</p></abstract-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation>
Beck, J.: Comparison of three methodologies for quasi-2D river flood
modeling with SWMM5, J. Water Manag. Model., C402, <a href="https://doi.org/10.14796/JWMM.C402" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.14796/JWMM.C402</a>, 2016.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation>
Caleffi, V., Valiani, A., and Zanni, A.: Finite volume method for simulating
extreme flood events in natural channels, J. Hydraul. Res., 41, 167–177, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/00221680309499959" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1080/00221680309499959</a>,
2003.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation>
Chen, J., Hill, A. A., and Urbano, L. D.: A GIS-based model for urban flood
inundation, J. Hydrol., 373,  184–192, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.04.021" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.04.021</a>, 2009.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib4"><label>4</label><mixed-citation>
Danish Hydraulic Institute: MIKE 11 User Manual,  Danish Hydraulic Institute, Copenhagen, 2012a.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib5"><label>5</label><mixed-citation>
Danish Hydraulic Institute: MIKE 21 User Manual, Danish Hydraulic Institute, Copenhagen, 2012b.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib6"><label>6</label><mixed-citation>
Danish Hydraulic Institute: MIKE Flood User Manual,  Danish Hydraulic Institute, Copenhagen, 2012c.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib7"><label>7</label><mixed-citation>
Danish Hydraulic Institute: MIKE Zero User Manual, Danish Hydraulic Institute, Copenhagen, 2012d.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib8"><label>8</label><mixed-citation>
Guidolin, M., Chen, A. S., Ghimire, B., Keedwell, E. C., Djordjević, S.,
and Savić, D. A.: A weighted cellular automata 2D inundation model for
rapid flood analysis, Environ. Model. Softw., 84, 378–394, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.07.008" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.07.008</a>, 2016.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib9"><label>9</label><mixed-citation>
Kia, M. B., Pirasteh, S., Pradhan, B., Mahmud, A. R., and Sulaiman, W. N. A.: An
artificial neural network model for flood simulation using GIS: Johor River
Basin, Malaysia, Environ. Earth Sci., 67, 251–264, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-011-1504-z" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-011-1504-z</a>, 2012.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib10"><label>10</label><mixed-citation>
Shirvan, M. K. M., Alamatian, E., Bafti, F. G., and Kheradmand, Y.: Flow
simulation of dam break and determining flooding zones using MIKE 21,
Ecol. Environ. Conserv., 19, 679–684, 2013.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib11"><label>11</label><mixed-citation>
Siddiqui, Q. T. M., Hashmi, H. N., Ghumman, A. R., and Mughal, H. R.: Flood
inundation modeling for a watershed in the Pothowar region of Pakistan,
Arab. J. Sci. Eng., 36,  1203–1220, 2011.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib12"><label>12</label><mixed-citation>
Soares-Frazão, S., Lhomme, J., Guinot, V., and Zech, Y., Two-dimensional
shallow-water model with porosity for urban flood modelling, J. Hydraul. Res.,
46,  45–64, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/00221686.2008.9521842" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1080/00221686.2008.9521842</a>, 2008.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib13"><label>13</label><mixed-citation>
Teng, J., Jakeman, A. J., Vaze, J., Croke, B. F. W., Dutta, D., and Kim, S.:
Flood inundation modelling: A review of methods, recent advances and
uncertainty analysis, Environ. Model. Softw., 90,  201–216, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.01.006" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.01.006</a>, 2017.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib14"><label>14</label><mixed-citation>
Van der Knijff, J. M., Younis, J., and de Roo, A. P. J.: LISFLOOD: a GIS-based
distributed model for river basin scale water balance and flood simulation,
Int. J. Geograph. Inform. Sci., 24, 189–212, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/13658810802549154" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1080/13658810802549154</a>, 2010.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib15"><label>15</label><mixed-citation>
Wang, F. and Hartnack, J. N.: Simulation of flood inundation in Jilin City,
Songhua River Project, City, 10, 18–31, 2006.

</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib16"><label>16</label><mixed-citation>
Wang, X., Wang, W., and Huang, G.: Simulation research of urban dam break
flood based on MIKE Flood model, Hydrosci. Eng., 5,  67–73, 2017 (in Chinese).
</mixed-citation></ref-html>--></article>
