<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing with OASIS Tables v3.0 20080202//EN" "journalpub-oasis3.dtd">
<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0"><?xmltex \bartext{Innovative water resources management -- understanding and balancing interactions between humankind and nature}?>
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">PIAHS</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">PIAHS</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Proc. IAHS</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2199-899X</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/piahs-379-187-2018</article-id><title-group><article-title>Multi-scale fluctuation analysis of precipitation in Beijing by
Extreme-point Symmetric Mode Decomposition</article-title><alt-title>Multi-scale fluctuation analysis of precipitation</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Multi-scale fluctuation analysis of precipitation}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{J. Li et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Li</surname><given-names>Jiqing</given-names></name>
          <email>jqli6688@163.com</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3708-5573</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Duan</surname><given-names>Zhipeng</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Huang</surname><given-names>Jing</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><institution>Renewable Energy School, North China Electric Power University, Beijing
102206, China</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Jiqing Li (jqli6688@163.com)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>5</day><month>June</month><year>2018</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>379</volume>
      <fpage>187</fpage><lpage>192</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>28</day><month>December</month><year>2017</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>1</day><month>February</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>1</day><month>February</month><year>2018</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        
        
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/379/187/2018/piahs-379-187-2018.html">This article is available from https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/379/187/2018/piahs-379-187-2018.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/379/187/2018/piahs-379-187-2018.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/379/187/2018/piahs-379-187-2018.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract>
    <p id="d1e91">With the aggravation of the global climate change, the
shortage of water resources in China is becoming more and more serious.
Using reasonable methods to study changes in precipitation is very important
for planning and management of water resources. Based on the time series of
precipitation in Beijing from 1951 to 2015, the multi-scale features of
precipitation are analyzed by the Extreme-point Symmetric Mode Decomposition
(ESMD) method to forecast the precipitation shift. The results show that the
precipitation series have periodic changes of 2.6, 4.3, 14
and 21.7 years, and the variance contribution rate of each modal component
shows that the inter-annual variation dominates the precipitation in
Beijing. It is predicted that precipitation in Beijing will continue to
decrease in the near future.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e101">Beijing is one of the cities with the most serious water shortage in China.
In the context of global warming, the annual precipitation is significantly
reduced, which aggravates the water shortage crisis in Beijing. Therefore,
studying the changing law of precipitation and the trend of its future
development in Beijing has become a central issue of widespread concern. At
present, many scholars have done a lot of researches on the variation and
evolution of precipitation in Beijing. Zhu et al. (2012) used Empirical Mode
Decomposition method to analyze the multi-scale oscillations of the
precipitation time series from 1951 to 2009 in Beijing, the results show that
the annual precipitation in Beijing will decrease continuously in the short
term (Zhu et al., 2012). Through statistical calculations and frequency
analysis of precipitation data from 16 rainfall stations in Beijing, Sun et
al. (2007) explored the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of
precipitation in Beijing and its changing trend. It is found that continuous
drought in Beijing after the 1990s and annual precipitation after 2008 may
enter a relatively abundant period (Sun et al., 2007). Wang et
al. (2009) analyzed the changes of temperature
and precipitation over the past 48 years in Beijing and found that the annual
precipitation showed a decreasing trend in both suburban and urban areas. The
above research results have analyzed the cycle and variation characteristics
of temperature and precipitation in Beijing from different perspectives,
which is not only helpful for understanding the process and laws of climate
change, but also great significance for the social and economic development
of Beijing.</p>
      <p id="d1e104">The climate system is a nonlinear, non-stationary, and hierarchical system
(Xue et al., 2013). In the traditional trend analysis, large-scale cycles and
trend changes are likely to mix together, can not tell the trend of changes
or periodic oscillations. Extreme-point Symmetric Mode Decomposition (ESMD)
is a locally adaptive time series analysis technique developed in recent
years. Compared with the wavelet analysis method, it is free from the
constraints of Fourier transform and is very suitable for analyzing
non-stationary and nonlinear time series (Xia and Liu, 2017). This paper uses
ESMD method to conduct multi-scale analysis of the annual precipitation
series from 1951 to 2015 in Beijing, and compares the results with wavelet
analysis to provide reference for future precipitation forecast and water
resources planning and management in Beijing.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e109">Annual precipitation time series from 1951 to 2015 at Beijing
station.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=324.361417pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/379/187/2018/piahs-379-187-2018-f01.png"/>

      </fig>

</sec>
<?pagebreak page188?><sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Research methods</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>The basic principle of Empirical Mode Decomposition</title>
      <p id="d1e129">The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) method proposed by Huang et
al. (1998), which is very suitable for dealing with nonlinear and
non-stationary signals. The EMD method separates the fluctuations of
different periods from the original signal and finally obtains the trend
component. Fluctuations at different scales are defined as Intrinsic Mode
Function (IMF). The modal decomposition of the EMD method is as follows:
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e134">Find all maxima and minima of the sequence <inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, through the
cubic spline interpolation, the upper envelope (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the lower
envelope (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are calculated.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e204">Calculate the median curve <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.<?xmltex \hack{\looseness-1}?><disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M6" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e271">Subtracting the median curve from the original signal yields the
remaining signal.<?xmltex \hack{\looseness-1}?><disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M7" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e306">Using <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> as a new signal sequence, repeat the above operation
until <inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> becomes a zero-mean process.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e344">After the zero-mean process <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is obtained, it is taken as
the first IMF component <inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, It represents the highest frequency
component of the original signal.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e382">Subtracting <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the original signal <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> results in
a new signal process <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.<?xmltex \hack{\looseness-1}?><disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M15" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e465">The sequence <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is taken as the original data, repeat steps
(1)–(5) and obtain the sequence <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and so
on. The original signal is finally reconstructed.<?xmltex \hack{\looseness-1}?><disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M20" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>Where: The sequence <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the trend term, representing the average
trend of the signal.</p></list-item></list></p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e605">Beijing annual precipitation model ratio coefficient curve.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=307.289764pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/379/187/2018/piahs-379-187-2018-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>The basic principle of Extreme-point Symmetric Mode
Decomposition</title>
      <p id="d1e620">The Extreme-point Symmetric Mode Decomposition (ESMD) method is a new
development of the EMD method. This method solves the problem of “modal
aliasing” in EMD and it has a big advantage in climate data analysis (Wang
and Li, 2014). This method is good at finding trends and can separate
inter-annual trends and the general trend of climate change in the observed
sequence, helping to probe the issue of global warming. And this method can
find the anomalous period and frequency band from the decomposition mode,
which is good for the research of climate anomaly. The modal decomposition of
the ESMD method is as follows:
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e625">Find all maxima and minima of the sequence <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, denoted by
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e668">Connect all the adjacent poles with line segments and mark
the mid-points as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>F</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and add the boundary mid-points
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>F</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>F</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at the left and right ends.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e723">The interpolation curve <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, …, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is constructed by using <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> midpoints, and calculated the mean curve
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">…</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e808">The above steps are repeated for the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> sequence
until <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ε</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ε</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the allowable error) or the
number of screened times reaches the preset maximum value <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mi>K</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, resulting in
the first empirical mode <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e883">The above four steps are repeated for the remaining sequences
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and the empirical modes <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> … are
obtained respectively until the remaining sequence <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> remains only for a
certain number of poles.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e958">Change the maximum number of screening times <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mi>K</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> within the defined
interval [<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>] and repeat the above five steps. Then
calculate the variance ratio <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and draw it with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mi>K</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
changes in the map to find the minimum <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> corresponding
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Repeat the above five steps again with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> as the limiting
condition. The last remaining term <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the adaptive global averaging of
the sequence <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></list-item></list>
After decomposition, the original time series <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is reconstructed as:

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M49" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
</sec>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page189?><sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Case study</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Study area profile</title>
      <p id="d1e1141">Beijing is located in the northwestern end of the North China Plain, the
central Haihe River Basin, the land area of 16 410 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, is a typical
northern temperate semi-humid monsoon climate. The complex and varied
topography has created a diversity of weather conditions in Beijing. Summer
heavy rainfall and strong convective weather are the main causes of frequent
droughts and floods in Beijing. Shown in Fig. 1 for the Beijing 1951–2015
nearly 65 years of precipitation. Among them, the largest precipitation was
1407 mm in 1957, the smallest precipitation was 267 mm in 1965, the average
annual rainfall was 589.75 mm, and the rate of linear precipitation decrease
is 3.47 mm a<inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p id="d1e1165">In this study, the annual rainfall data are provided by the National Climate
Center of China Meteorological Administration. The data are released after
the reorganization and review of the institution, so the reliability of the
data can be basically guaranteed. As shown in Fig. 2, plot annual
precipitation model ratio coefficient curve in Beijing, and analyze the
representativeness of the data. It can be seen from the figure that with the
increase of time, the amplitude of the curve is getting smaller and smaller,
and when the annual rainfall series is over 50 years, the cumulative mean of
the modulus ratio tends to 1, indicating that this series of data has certain
stability.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Multi-scale analysis of precipitation changes</title>
      <p id="d1e1174">The ESMD method was used to decompose the annual mean precipitation series
from 1951 to 2015 in Beijing. The best screening frequency was 26 times when
the ratio of variance was the smallest, and 4 modes (Mode 1–4) and a trend
margin R, as shown in Fig. 3.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p id="d1e1179">Modal components and trend of precipitation time series by ESMD</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/379/187/2018/piahs-379-187-2018-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1188">In order to verify the reliability of the decomposition results, this paper
synthesize a reconstructed sequence from the decomposed Mode 1–4 and the
trend series R, and find that the reconstructed sequence is completely
consistent with the original precipitation sequence, indicating that the
decomposition result of ESMD method is credible of. In Fig. 3, the four mode
components of ESMD decomposition each reflect the oscillations of different
characteristic scales inherent in the original sequence, and the influence of
signal fluctuation frequency of each scale on the overall characteristics of
the original data is represented by the variance contribution rate. The
Periodic Diagram Method is used to estimate the average period of each
decomposition mode. Table 1 shows the mean period and the variance
contribution rate of each modal component. It can be seen that annual
precipitation in Beijing has annual variations of 2.6 and 4.3 years, and
inter-decadal changes of 14 and 21.7 years. In addition, the main periods of
the precipitation time series does not change over time during the study
period.</p>
      <?pagebreak page190?><p id="d1e1191"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>Combined with Table 1 and Fig. 3 quantitative analysis: The precipitation
series of 65 years in Beijing contain many time-scale features, and the
precipitation changes are mainly determined by the three higher-frequency
oscillations of Mode 1–3. Among them, the Mode 1 (Fig. 3a) with a period of
2.6 years has the largest variance contribution rate, reaching 32.47 %.
The signal oscillation of Mode 1 is very obvious and indicates the
precipitation has a decreasing-increasing cycle change, which basically
reflects the alternation of precipitation in Beijing before the 1970s. Mode 2
(Fig. 3b) indicates that there is a 4.3-year periodic change in the
precipitation series in Beijing. Its variance contribution rate is about
16.74 %. Throughout the study period, Mode 2 shows that the amplitude of
rainfall in Beijing fluctuated greatly before the 1970s and gradually
decreased after the 1970s. Mode 3 (Fig. 3c) with a period of 14 years has
only a smaller variance contribution rate of Mode 1, about 27.5 %. As can
be seen from Fig. 3c, the amplitude changes steadily and fluctuates
relatively little in the late 1960s and mid-1990s, but it significantly
increased from the early 1950s to the late 1960s and after the 1990s. This
shows that the precipitation variation in these two periods is great compared
with other periods. Mode 4 (Fig. 3d) with a period of 21.7 years has the
smallest variance contribution rate, only 1.37 %. Its amplitude is
relatively stable over the entire time span. Comparing Mode 3 with Mode 4 can
find that Mode 3 has a wide range of amplitude variations and the amplitude
range of Mode 4 is significantly smaller. This indicates that the anomalous
precipitation mainly occurs on the time scale of 14 years.The variance
contribution rate of trend item R (Fig. 3e) is about 16.74 %. It reflects
the overall trend of precipitation in Beijing over the past 65 years. As
shown in Fig. 3e, trend item show a non-linear trend of gradual decline over
the entire time scale.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <title>Wavelet analysis and verification</title>
      <p id="d1e1201">Wavelet analysis is a hot frontier field in recent years because of its
special advantages for signal processing, it is widely used in the field of
time-frequency structure analysis of weather and climate sequences (Yang and
Shu, 2017). This paper uses the Morlet wavelet transform to analyzes the
annual precipitation anomaly sequence. Figure 4 shows the real part time
frequency distribution of wavelet coefficients of the precipitation anomaly
sequence in Beijing in recent 65 years. When the wavelet coefficient is
positive, it indicates that the precipitation is relatively large and the
greater the value, the more precipitation. When the wavelet coefficient is
negative, the precipitation is less than normal.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><caption><p id="d1e1207">Contribution rates of ESMD decomposition for mean precipitation.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.96}[.96]?><oasis:tgroup cols="6">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Mode</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Mode 1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Mode 2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Mode 3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Mode 4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">R</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">components</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Period (a)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">4.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">14</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">21.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Contribution</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">32.47</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">16.74</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">27.50</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1.37</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">21.92</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">rates (%)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2"><caption><p id="d1e1337">Comparison of the cycle result by ESMD and Wavelet Analysis.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ESMD</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Wavelet Analysis</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Difference (a)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Analysis (a)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Cycle (a)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.6</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">4.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">5–8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.7–3.7</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">14</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">10–15</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1–4</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">21.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">25</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3.3</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e1431">The real part distribution of wavelet coefficients.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=312.980315pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/379/187/2018/piahs-379-187-2018-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1440">It can be seen from Fig. 4 that precipitation in Beijing has multi-scale
changes of 2, 5–8, 10–15 and 25 years. Throughout the study period, the
wavelet coefficients alternated between positive and negative, indicating
that the change of precipitation with the alternation of abundance and
dryness over time. Table 2 shows the comparison between the wavelet and the
ESMD analysis cycle results, the results of the two methods have some
differences, and the longer the cycle shows the greater the difference.</p>
      <p id="d1e1443">As a time-frequency analysis method, wavelet transform is the same as other
time-frequency analysis methods, such as short-time Fourier transform and
classical spectral estimation, which is based on Fourier transform theory as
a basis. There are some limitations, such as the selection of wavelet<?pagebreak page191?> basis
functions, constant multi-resolution and other issues. Compared with the
wavelet analysis, the ESMD method based entirely on the characteristics of
data changes decomposition and got rid of the shackles of the Fourier
transform theory. This method not only has the advantages of
multi-resolution wavelet transform, but also breaks through restrictions of
the wavelet basis functions, it has strong flexibility and adaptability. The
decomposition process of this method is easier than wavelet analysis, and
the components can clearly characterize the variation characteristics of
signals on different time scales. It is more helpful to explore the inherent
laws of things.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusion</title>
      <p id="d1e1453">ESMD method is a suitable method for analyzing non-linear and non-stationary
sequence signals. Applying the ESMD method to climate element time series not
only separates the annual and inter-decadal trends, but also separates the
general trend of climate change. This study shows that the 65-year
precipitation series in Beijing are mainly composed of Mode 1, Mode 2 and
Mode 3, indicating that the 2.6-, 4.3-, and 9-year scale oscillations play a major role in the change of the whole sequence. Combining several mode components and the trend term R
predicts that the annual precipitation in Beijing will continue to decrease
in the next few years.</p>
      <p id="d1e1456">Under the background of global warming, the influence of natural factors and
human activities are superimposed on each other, and the variation of
hydrological time series is more complicated. Based on the study of
precipitation series in Beijing, this paper shows that ESMD method has
better analysis effect on time series of hydrology. However, the current
research is only in the initial stage. How to determine the influence
factors of each mode component, calculate its weight and finally apply it to
the prediction of time series will be the key work in future.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability">

      <p id="d1e1464">Data are available at:
<uri>http://cmdp.ncc-cma.net/cn/index.htm</uri>. This site requires user registration to download precipitation data.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests">

      <p id="d1e1473">The authors declare that they have no conflict of
interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="sistatement">

      <p id="d1e1479">This article is part of the special issue “Innovative water
resources management – understanding and balancing interactions between
humankind and nature”. It is a result of the 8th International Water
Resources Management Conference of ICWRS, Beijing, China, 13–15 June
2018.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e1485">This study was financially supported by National Key Projects of China “Water resources efficient development and utilization”
(2017YFC0405900, 2016YFC0402208, 2016YFC0401903) and National Natural Science Foundation of China
(No. 51641901). The author would like to give special thanks to
anonymous reviewers.<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> Edited by: Dingzhi Peng<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> Reviewed by: two
anonymous referees</p></ack><ref-list>
    <title>References</title>

      <ref id="bib1.bib1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation>Huang, N. E., Shen, Z., and Long, S. R.: The empirical mode decomposition and
the hilbert spectrum for nonlinear and non-stationary time series analysis,
Philos. T. R. Soc. A, 454, 903–995, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1998.0193" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1098/rspa.1998.0193</ext-link>, 1998.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation>
Sun, Z., Feng, S., and Yang, Z.: Precipitation characteristics in Beijing
from 1950 to 2005, J. Irrig. Drain. E., 2, 12–16, 2007.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation>Wang, J. and Li, Z.: ESMD method for climate data analysis, Climate Change
Research Letters, 3, 1–5, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.12677/ccrl.2014.31001" ext-link-type="DOI">10.12677/ccrl.2014.31001</ext-link>, 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <?pagebreak page192?><ref id="bib1.bib4"><label>4</label><mixed-citation>
Wang, W., Zhang, W., and Cai, X.: Changes of temperature and precipitation in
Beijing in recent 50 years, Journal of Arid Meteorology, 27, 350–353, 2009.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib5"><label>5</label><mixed-citation>
Xia, C. and Liu, C.: Conjoint analysis of near-fault multi-pulse ground
motion based on wavelet transformation and extreme-point symmetric mode
decomposition, Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering, 37,
697–704, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib6"><label>6</label><mixed-citation>Xue, C., Hou, W., and Zhao, J.: Application of set empirical mode
decomposition in multi-scale analysis of regional precipitation change and
research of climate change response, Acta Phys. Sin., 62, 109–203, 2013.
 </mixed-citation></ref><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
      <ref id="bib1.bib7"><label>7</label><mixed-citation>Yang, Y. and Shu, H.: Small and medium scale of climatic variation
characteristics of Baiyin city – Gansu Province, Journal of Arid Land
Resources and Environment, 31, 126–131, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.13448/j.cnki.jalre.2017.155" ext-link-type="DOI">10.13448/j.cnki.jalre.2017.155</ext-link>, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib8"><label>8</label><mixed-citation>Zhu, L., Chen, Y., and Li, L.: Analysis of precipitation variation trend in
Beijing City from 1951 to 2009, Water Resources Protection, 28, 42–46, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1004-6933.2012.03.008" ext-link-type="DOI">10.3969/j.issn.1004-6933.2012.03.008</ext-link>, 2012.</mixed-citation></ref>

  </ref-list></back>
    <!--<article-title-html>Multi-scale fluctuation analysis of precipitation in Beijing by Extreme-point Symmetric Mode Decomposition</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>With the aggravation of the global climate change, the
shortage of water resources in China is becoming more and more serious.
Using reasonable methods to study changes in precipitation is very important
for planning and management of water resources. Based on the time series of
precipitation in Beijing from 1951 to 2015, the multi-scale features of
precipitation are analyzed by the Extreme-point Symmetric Mode Decomposition
(ESMD) method to forecast the precipitation shift. The results show that the
precipitation series have periodic changes of 2.6, 4.3, 14
and 21.7 years, and the variance contribution rate of each modal component
shows that the inter-annual variation dominates the precipitation in
Beijing. It is predicted that precipitation in Beijing will continue to
decrease in the near future.</p></abstract-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation>
Huang, N. E., Shen, Z., and Long, S. R.: The empirical mode decomposition and
the hilbert spectrum for nonlinear and non-stationary time series analysis,
Philos. T. R. Soc. A, 454, 903–995, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1998.0193" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1998.0193</a>, 1998.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation>
Sun, Z., Feng, S., and Yang, Z.: Precipitation characteristics in Beijing
from 1950 to 2005, J. Irrig. Drain. E., 2, 12–16, 2007.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation>
Wang, J. and Li, Z.: ESMD method for climate data analysis, Climate Change
Research Letters, 3, 1–5, <a href="https://doi.org/10.12677/ccrl.2014.31001" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.12677/ccrl.2014.31001</a>, 2014.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib4"><label>4</label><mixed-citation>
Wang, W., Zhang, W., and Cai, X.: Changes of temperature and precipitation in
Beijing in recent 50 years, Journal of Arid Meteorology, 27, 350–353, 2009.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib5"><label>5</label><mixed-citation>
Xia, C. and Liu, C.: Conjoint analysis of near-fault multi-pulse ground
motion based on wavelet transformation and extreme-point symmetric mode
decomposition, Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering, 37,
697–704, 2017.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib6"><label>6</label><mixed-citation>
Xue, C., Hou, W., and Zhao, J.: Application of set empirical mode
decomposition in multi-scale analysis of regional precipitation change and
research of climate change response, Acta Phys. Sin., 62, 109–203, 2013.

</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib7"><label>7</label><mixed-citation>
Yang, Y. and Shu, H.: Small and medium scale of climatic variation
characteristics of Baiyin city – Gansu Province, Journal of Arid Land
Resources and Environment, 31, 126–131, <a href="https://doi.org/10.13448/j.cnki.jalre.2017.155" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.13448/j.cnki.jalre.2017.155</a>, 2017.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib8"><label>8</label><mixed-citation>
Zhu, L., Chen, Y., and Li, L.: Analysis of precipitation variation trend in
Beijing City from 1951 to 2009, Water Resources Protection, 28, 42–46, <a href="https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1004-6933.2012.03.008" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1004-6933.2012.03.008</a>, 2012.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>--></article>
