Journal cover Journal topic
Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences An open-access publication for refereed proceedings in hydrology
Journal topic

Journal metrics

CiteScore value: 0.9
CiteScore
0.9
SNIP value: 0.504
SNIP0.504
IPP value: 0.81
IPP0.81
SJR value: 0.296
SJR0.296
Scimago H <br class='widget-line-break'>index value: 11
Scimago H
index
11
h5-index value: 19
h5-index19
Volume 364
Proc. IAHS, 364, 164–170, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-364-164-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Proc. IAHS, 364, 164–170, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-364-164-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

  16 Sep 2014

16 Sep 2014

Climate change impact on flood hazard

M. Brilly, K. Kavčič, M. Šraj, S. Rusjan, and A. Vidmar M. Brilly et al.
  • University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering, Jamova 2, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia

Keywords: Climate changes impact, E-OBS; HBV model, flood discharge

Abstract. Climate changes have a high impact on river discharges and therefore on floods. There are a few different methods we can use to predict discharge changes in the future. In this paper we used the complex HBV model for the Vipava River and simple correlation between discharge and precipitation data for the Soča River. The discharge prediction is based on the E-OBS precipitation data for three future time periods (2011–2040, 2041–2070 and 2071–2100). Estimated discharges for those three future periods are presented for both rivers. But a special situation occurs at the confluence where the two rivers with rather different catchments unite, and this requires an additional probability analysis.

Publications Copernicus
Download
Citation